2021 will see an above average number of hurricanes

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) revealed that there is stormy weather in the future, as it updated its climate prediction center to indicate an increase in the number of hurricanes and storms, while the administration was using the period between 1981 to 2000 as a 30-year period of record for making estimates of upcoming hurricane seasons, now counting the period 1991 to 2020.

As a result, the average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean increased to seven hurricanes and 14 storms per year.


The average of major hurricanes, those classified as Category 3, 4, or 5, also remained constant over both periods at three per year.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updates its statistics once a decade to determine whether the hurricane season is above or below average relative to the climate registry.

Michael Farrar, Director of the National Environmental Prediction Centers of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said, this update allows our meteorologists to make forecasts of the hurricane season taking into account the most relevant climate statistics.


While the increase may be due to warming oceans caused by climate change, the researchers say it may also be due to better tracking thanks to improved technology and hurricane reconnaissance.


Matt Rosencrans, a seasonal hurricane forecaster at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center said, these updated rates better reflect our collective experience over the past 10 years, which has included some very active hurricane seasons. NOAA scientists have assessed the impacts of climate change on tropical cyclones and determined that it could affect storm intensity.

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